Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.110279 0.118361 0.126733 0.136056 0.146155 0.156771 0.168783
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.095927 0.107614 0.120329 0.135213 0.152194 0.171000 0.193458
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.087014 0.100501 0.115658 0.134003 0.155676 0.180546 0.211363
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079177 0.093611 0.110261 0.130966 0.156132 0.185864 0.223852
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075553 0.091198 0.109669 0.133199 0.162542 0.198134 0.244896
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070471 0.086586 0.105994 0.131240 0.163427 0.203378 0.257162
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066421 0.082934 0.103187 0.130038 0.164975 0.209266 0.270261
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.061938 0.078451 0.099033 0.126787 0.163566 0.211090 0.277891
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.058696 0.075358 0.096445 0.125346 0.164318 0.215607 0.289136
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056461 0.073437 0.095243 0.125598 0.167230 0.223004 0.304521
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053546 0.070466 0.092489 0.123585 0.166892 0.225857 0.313574
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051336 0.068328 0.090731 0.122801 0.168139 0.230856 0.325784
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.050745 0.068410 0.092041 0.126402 0.175812 0.245410 0.352868
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048572 0.066223 0.090140 0.125401 0.176880 0.250573 0.366395
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046540 0.064133 0.088265 0.124311 0.177702 0.255323 0.379423
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044109 0.061374 0.085319 0.121517 0.175844 0.255952 0.386056
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043346 0.060959 0.085688 0.123570 0.181264 0.267688 0.410540
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041480 0.058870 0.083542 0.121769 0.180727 0.270258 0.420515
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039933 0.057185 0.081915 0.120663 0.181175 0.274316 0.433017
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037952 0.054785 0.079135 0.117674 0.178535 0.273357 0.437146
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036541 0.053182 0.077484 0.116349 0.178437 0.276395 0.448025
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035620 0.052284 0.076858 0.116581 0.180806 0.283474 0.466044
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034213 0.050595 0.074963 0.114729 0.179713 0.284810 0.474191